![]() The Republican Party faces a crisis due to its shrinking white voter base unless it makes commensurate gains among the growing non-white electorate, which totaled 33 percent of voters in 2020 and which Biden won 71 to 26 percent over Trump. ‘Nightmare’ court decision upholds the right to be heard before a real courtīiden breaks with precedent by giving up some authority Then in 2020, those three states reverted to blue when Biden won with similarly close margins as Trump in 2016. Trump, who lost the popular vote in 2016, was elected president because he busted through the triple blue wall by winning an extra 77,744 votes spread across Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin - earning 46 electoral votes. In 2004, Bush lost Pennsylvania (21), Michigan (17) and Wisconsin (10), then totaling 48 electoral votes, but he had enough of an electoral cushion to reach 270 without the trio. That is a desperate and expensive situation involving 44 electoral votes and the White House at stake. Republicans losing popular and electoral votes in states once considered safe will force the party into a 270-vote math fight where the electoral-rich “blue wall” states of Pennsylvania (19), Wisconsin (10) and Michigan (15) become “must-win” for Republicans. Then in 2020, Trump and Republicans were stunned when Biden managed a 0.2 percentage point win, earning 16 new blue electoral votes, and the fallout continues in court. In 2004, Bush conquered Georgia with a 16.6 percentage point blowout, while Trump won by a respectable 5.2 points in 2016. Its newly acquired battleground status illustrates the Republican Party’s vulnerability. Georgia in 2024 will garner even more money and media attention. In 2004, Bush won Virginia by a safe 8.2 percentage point margin, but in 2020 Biden won by an even safer 10.1 points. GOP presidential candidates dream about turning back the clock but wake up to face this daunting data: Where does the Republican Party go to replace those 34 electoral votes? Good question. Subsequently, four states totaling 32 electoral votes that contributed to Bush topping 270 in 2004 have since become GOP Electoral College “dropouts.” Starting in 2008, every Democratic presidential ticket has won the following states (with their 2024 electoral votes in parentheses): Virginia (13), Colorado (10), Nevada (6) and New Mexico (5). Bush won the popular vote 50.7 to 48.3 percent and the Electoral College vote 286 to 251. John Kerry (D-Mass.) in a demure, respectable campaign by today’s standards. To understand how this forthcoming non-celebratory 20th anniversary of continuous political loss manifested itself, let’s begin with notable 2004 state voting data and compare it to 2020 state results.īut first, the basic facts: Incumbent President George W. Moreover, the demeaning label “illegitimate president” can haunt a commander in chief who wins without the popular vote. The Electoral College, he acknowledged, was a “vestige” from a time and a system that “put a lot of premium on states.In 2016, Donald Trump was elected president by winning only the Electoral College - a political fluke that he did not repeat in 2020. President Obama, during his final press conference of the year, weighed in during his yearend news conference Friday. A CBS News poll last week showed Americans favor amending the Constitution to elect the president by popular vote, 54 to 41 percent. 8, protesting that the college had outlived its usefulness. ![]() Poll: More Americans believe popular vote should decide the presidentīecause of these two recent examples where the Electoral College outcome defied popular opinion, some clamored for its abolishment after Nov.In total, Gore won the popular vote by just over 540,000 ballots. Ultimately, Gore lost after recount efforts in Florida and a Supreme Court decision gave the state’s 25 electors to Bush. The states Clinton won that Gore lost were New Hampshire (4), Virginia (13), and Colorado (8). This was because ultimately, Gore won states (that Clinton lost) with higher electoral vote counts at the time, like Pennsylvania (23 electors), Michigan (18), and Wisconsin (10). Bush narrowly won with 271 electoral votes, compared to Gore’s 266, with a single elector abstaining in the official tally. In the case of the 2000 election, both the Electoral College and popular vote counts were much closer than this year’s race.
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